Coalition government on the cards
S Anand of Outlook predicts that the keenly contested elections will result in the formation of a coalition government in TN.
The watershed assembly election in Tamil Nadu next month could well mark the beginning of the end of the 30-year monopoly of the two Dravidian parties—the DMK and AIADMK. With neither likely to manage a simple majority (118 in a house of 234), and the election poised to swing either way, it appears that the state could be in for a dose of instability. Despite AIADMK supremo J. Jayalalitha riding a rollback wave after reversing every one of her unpopular policy decisions, the DMK-led front seemed well ensconced till the Dalit Panthers of India and MDMK formed an alliance with the AIADMK in March. The buzz till April was that Amma could come back. However, the DMK manifesto's slew of sops has changed equations. This election will go down to the wire.
A novice DMK Union cabinet minister had a brainwave: an offer of 10 gm gold thali (mangalsutra) to all women entering matrimony. "Women love gold and free thalis will capture their imagination," was the logic. This was jettisoned, and the idea of free colour TVs was born. Rs 2 a kilo rice, two acres of land, free gas stoves, monthly maternity allowance of Rs 1,000 for six months to poor women, Rs 15,000 marriage fund for women etc made for a heady mix in the DMK manifesto. For 15 days, the AIADMK leadership and MDMK leader Vaiko ridiculed Karunanidhi for his "bird-brained, impracticable ideas"; and suddenly Jayalalitha blinked. She decided to offer 10 kg of free rice.
We can expect to see S Anand in Sun TV’s post-election poll analysis as he is a regular there. Do I need to spell out the name of the novice Union Cabinet Minister?
posted by Kaps at
6:10 AM
4 Comments:
Well, you never know, Vaiko might come back to the DMK after the elections if neither front has a clear majority.
Reminds me of an old joke.
"Would you sleep with me for a million dollars?"
"Well, I guess I might."
"Would you sleep with me for five dollars?"
"Sir, what kind of a woman do you take me for?"
"Madam, we have already established that; now we're merely haggling over the price."
By
Vijay Krishna Narayanan, at 5:52 PM
@VK,
With the current spat between Dayanidhi Maran and Vaiko, I doubt whether Vaiko will return back to the DMK alliance after the elections.
That's a really good joke :-)
By
Kaps, at 11:02 AM
Do you really want to listen to election analysis on Sun TV?
By
Unknown, at 2:49 AM
Rice all the way
By the second week of March, it appeared as if AIADMK was going to win by a comfortable margin, but now, at the end of April with 10 days to go for the elections, the writing is on the wall. DMK is going to come back to power and ADMK bag about 50 seats. The reasons
1. Karthik and his forward Bloc are not going to win any seat, but will garner 3000 to 7000 votes in each consistuency and most importantly 100 % of Forward Bloc’s votes are going to come from AIADMK
2. Vaiko’s vote bank included two groups. One Telugu speaking people and a sizeable propotion of that is going to vote for Vijayakanth now. The second group of Vaiko’s vote bank was people who voted against ADMK as well as DMK. They are now going to vote to Vijayakanth
3. When DMK announced Rice at 2 rupees a kilo, ADMK and MDMK were ridiculing that and told that it is impossible. But after 10 days, ADMK announces that they will give 10 kilos free. This is a single factor that is responsible for the MOOD SWING Over the past 2 weeks
4. In the end result, ADMK is going to win in the northern parts and DMK is going to have a landslide victory in the southern districts (considered a ADMK stronghold)
By
Doctor Bruno, at 12:00 AM
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