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Sambhar Mafia - Cooked To Kill!

Friday, April 14, 2006

TN Polls: The Countdown Begins

CNN-IBN has come out with the results of the pre-poll survey that it conducted in collaboration with The Hindu. They feel that it could be anybody's game. There is no clear winner as yet. I’m not sure whether the impact of the poll promises of the various parties has really been considered in the voters’ responses. IMHO, the battle is far from over. We still have about 3 weeks left.

According to the survey, the AIADMK will get a 46 per cent share of the votes and the DMK 44 per cent. Actor-politician Vijaykanth’s party, the DMDK, is projected to get 5 per cent of the votes. Such a close fight means that later the field could be open for small groups during government formation.

Even poll pundits won’t risk predicting the exact number of seats the AIADMK and the DMK will win, but both parties might get almost an equal number of seats.

A certain Tamil magazine had come out with its pre-poll survey indicating a vote share of 50% of ADMK combine, 40% for DMK combine and 10% for DMDK combine. I don’t know whether there was truth in that survey, but the CNN-IBN estimation looks more realistic.

9 Comments:

  • //
    According to the survey, 49 per cent of Vijaykants's support comes from the DMK base and 25 from AIADMK base.
    //

    Now, that is what I call NONSENSE. Orchestered. Unbelievable.

    By Anonymous RaajK, at 2:17 AM  

  • you must have seen the confidence in both the camps... especially in the ADMK... Maitrayen claims they will win the election hands down.. even after seeing the pre-poll results...

    only time can tell.... but seems interestingly poised

    By Blogger b a l a j i, at 2:19 AM  

  • But what appeared in The Hindu seems somewhat balanced - acknowledging the possible errors.

    By Anonymous RaajK, at 4:09 AM  

  • I just wrote a blog on this. Apart from the number, what is impressive is that the ADMK has been able to erase a 17% margin in 2 years time. They have even managed to establish a slender lead. DMK alliance is more or less intact with the exception of MDMK. (MDMK has just about 4-5% vote share in TN). So its quite a remarkable achievement by itself.

    By Blogger Eshwar S, at 9:10 AM  

  • @RaajK,
    I dunno the exact %, but I would suspect that majority of DMDK's vote is coming from the erstwhile DMK supporters. Do you have a guesstimate the vote share gained by DMDK? I am yet to read The Hindu article.

    @Balaji,
    I couldn't watch the video. both sides seem to be claiming victory at the moment.

    @Eshwar,
    even a small 1 - 2% swing from the current position could mean a lot to both the parties. this is just an overall percentage, we still don't know how this percentage is going to split constituency wise.

    By Blogger Kaps, at 11:30 AM  

  • இனிய தமிழ்ப் புத்தாண்டு வாழ்த்துக்கள் :-) :-)

    அம்மா வந்தாலும் கலைஞர் வந்தாலும் ஆட்சி ஒரே மாதிரி தான் இருக்கப் போகுது.... :-( :-(

    So, never mind about the results..

    By Blogger Ram.C, at 3:51 PM  

  • Puthaandu nal vaazhthukkal, Kaps. :-)

    By Blogger Jo, at 5:06 PM  

  • Kaps,

    Vijaykant started his campign by vehemently attacking the DMK, calls himself Black MGR and goes in MGR's van. So how can he eat into DMK's votes than ADMK's votes, given the "quality" of supporters of both the parties?

    That was my doubt.

    By Anonymous RaajK, at 10:40 PM  

  • @Ram,
    Ungalukkum Iniya Tamizh puthandu vaazhthukkal
    as you said it might not really matter much, but it is fun watching the political game.

    @Jo,
    Thanks. Wishing you a great Vishu!

    @Raajk,
    although Vijayakanth calls himself a Black MGR, his campaign has been targetted at the traditional voter base. He has been attacking DMK and PMK vehemently.

    By Blogger Kaps, at 11:23 PM  

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